[ Attacks against expatriates working in the Saudi Arabian oil patch have ] accelerated in ]tempo and intensity during the past several months. If ] this trend is not reversed -- ]which is not likely -- Riyadh will slowly ] fall from its current position as the kingpin of ]global energy markets. ] Oil prices will be both higher and more volatile, Saudi social ]stability ] far less guaranteed and OPEC less a force to be reckoned with. ] .... ] Al Qaeda is also all about leverage. It is not that the ] oil assets are beyond their reach -- the Sept. 11 attacks ] proved nothing is -- but instead that the oil assets are ] potentially a future target. Attacks against expatriates ] are akin to slowly turning the screws on both Washington ] and Riyadh, while attacking the infrastructure directly ] is a sledgehammer blow that al Qaeda can only use once. ] ... ] Many expatriates have been trying to get the U.S. government ] to pressure the Saudis to let foreign security into the country, ] but since this would just put more Western targets in the ] kingdom, the State Department is likely to try and let the matter ] drop. Instead, at security briefings in the U.S. Embassy, government ] officials are simply warning the expatriates that they ] "should get the [expletive deleted] out of here." Stratfor rocks... Saudi Oil Crown Slipping Away? - Stratfor |