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There are great benefits to connectedness, but we haven't wrapped our minds around the costs.

Qwest and MCI Break Impasse on Network Leasing Rates
Topic: Telecom Industry 9:44 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

As the Bush administration considers whose side to take in the lobbying war over the leasing rates, top executives from both sides decided to participate in the discussions in order not to offend government officials and regulators.

Participants in the discussions said that the talks have left both sides far apart, with the exception of Qwest and MCI.

Qwest and MCI Break Impasse on Network Leasing Rates


Trying to Revive Struggling AT&T
Topic: Telecom Industry 9:41 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

The problems facing the heir of Ma Bell are obvious to everyone in the industry, yet hard to grasp, let alone fix. And when AT&T finds a solution to one of its many problems, another struggle develops.

AT&T's central problem is that its core long-distance business is eroding fast.

"The thing is, this is a lousy business."

Trying to Revive Struggling AT&T


Commercials in Flux
Topic: Business 9:35 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

As buyers grumble about paying more for shrinking, distracted audiences, a big piece of American commercial culture seems endangered. In the age of the remote control, of HBO and endless cable choices, and of TiVo, the marriage of mass entertainment to "a word from our sponsor," appears to be in trouble.

Commercials aren't really interruptions to our entertainment but a major component of our common culture. As Madge the manicurist would say, we're soaking in it.

Even the dumbest commercials insinuated themselves deep into people's psyches.

Television commercials won't disappear, but young people will use them differently.

MemeStreams is in the ad delivery business.

Commercials in Flux


Adolescents in Adult City
Topic: Society 9:28 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

City elders tried marketing Las Vegas as a family destination. The scheme was jettisoned for a new campaign that hypes Las Vegas as America's grown-up romper room, the center of sin and indulgence.

Now the hotel rooms are full, and people keep moving here. Las Vegas grows at a supersonic rate. But within this growth lie seeds of conflict. One in four Las Vegans is a minor.

Who needs high school anyway? teenagers ask. Not when valet parking attendants tell stories about making $100,000 a year. Here, stripping and blackjack dealing are viable career choices. To a teenager, adult life in Las Vegas can look easy.

IT? Who needs IT?

Adolescents in Adult City


Grading the President
Topic: Economics 9:08 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

The final and most serious argument is that whatever the short-term benefits, the tax cuts have left us with a long-term fiscal mess.

I realize it's now practically illegal to have modulated views about anything related to the Bush administration, but ... What I don't understand is why the administration doesn't now pivot and say: OK, we had a potential crisis. We prevented it. Now the recovery is in full swing. Let's address the long-term problems. Let's talk about the consequences of the aging baby boomers.

Nader should force Bush and Kerry to talk about pre-empting the grave and gathering generational storm.

After all, isn't this at the very core of the Bush doctrine?

Grading the President


Lands in Need of Care
Topic: Politics and Law 8:55 am EDT, Jun  1, 2004

It was clear from the moment they took power that Bush and Cheney were determined to greatly accelerate oil and gas drilling on the public lands of the West. All anyone asked for was a balanced approach.

The administration has not produced a balanced policy.

Lands in Need of Care


Sorry, I thought I had it
Topic: TV 11:26 pm EDT, May 31, 2004

Lisa: "Can't you see the difference between earning something honestly and getting it by fraud?"

Bart: Hmm, I suppose, maybe, if, uh ... no. No, sorry, I thought I had it there for a second."

Level 3 was close, but ...

Sorry, I thought I had it


Advanced peering: A better alternative | Telephony, January 2003
Topic: Telecom Industry 11:20 pm EDT, May 31, 2004

Circa 2003, here is Level 3's proposal:

With the rapid growth of Internet traffic, larger retail ISPs are faced with the challenge of efficiently handling IP traffic increases. These companies are [re-]evaluating the traditional Internet peering model as a way of achieving a leading cost structure and higher level of quality.

When taken to the extreme, the traditional Internet peering model results in reverse economies of scale that are detrimental to the industry as a whole.

Our alternative, advanced peering, leverages the Martini Draft implementation of MPLS. It allows providers to avoid the cost and operational implications of the traditional model. The result is a more eloquent and cost-efficient option for Internet interconnection.

Of the US carriers, only AT&T, Level 3 and Sprint do not face the prospect of bankruptcy from the US intercity fiber business. Most of the remaining companies have completely abandoned their intercity fiber business. A select few might re-emerge from bankruptcy and perhaps become viable. Most will not.

"Facilities-based providers" convinced themselves that their network engineering and operational capabilities would enable them to achieve a higher level of service quality.

Why was so much money invested in such a large number of fiber-based business plans? While the decisions of the late 1990s cannot be reversed, the industry can learn from them.

Advanced peering is much more efficient than traditional peering arrangements because it minimizes cost replication.

While the industry continues to change rapidly, cash flow performance will decide who will survive and who will prosper.

Many lessons are being learned from the telecom meltdown. The industry needs to be honest about when it is appropriate to build and operate vs. when it makes more sense to leverage someone else's investment and core competency. And, it needs to be creative in finding solutions that produce win-win results.

She lays bare all of the problems with SKA peering, but she is still in denial about CapEx problems -- and I'm not talking about the fiber. Namely, what can be done with all of the legacy equipment, including all of this ATM crap? I know, let's build a "converged" network! Apparently the two sides of her "win-win" equation are data and voice.

Some confusion remains with regard to peering. There is no mention here of a more complex settlement model, for example.

Advanced peering: A better alternative | Telephony, January 2003


New Issues for Internet Interconnection | Telecommunications, February 2000
Topic: Telecom Industry 11:01 pm EDT, May 31, 2004

The traditional world of Internet peering is undergoing radical change with the commercialisation of the Internet. The result may be the emergence of a running battle between the Internet backbone providers and ISPs, before the two agree on the creation of a new interconnection regime.

The structure of interconnection agreements in the past has been based on a non-commercial model, bundled up with the notion that the Internet is 'free'. Yet these models are being reassessed with Internet backbone providers no longer prepared to remain bound by Internet interconnection arrangements which fail to take adequate account of associated infrastructure costs.

Peering arrangements have in many instances been adopted blindly; peering has come to be seen as an end in itself, driving the economic imperatives.

Fundamental economic problems have arisen as a result of blindly adopting SKA peering. The SKA peering model has allowed networks to develop rapidly. However, the model provides no real platform for organic growth. Ongoing investment in broadband capacity is therefore dependent on the development of new interconnection models that provide incentives for investment in infrastructure.

Internet backbone providers are now looking to financial settlement models which allow Internet backbone providers to enter into interconnection arrangements without losing the ability to be fairly compensated for their infrastructure costs. The arrangements have the potential to enhance Internet connectivity and to provide an optimal level of interconnection in the long term.

In effect, we are moving towards a tiered pricing structure.

In the future, in the trend toward settlements-based interconnection arrangements, we will see opportunities for Internet backbone providers to derive increased revenues where they are able to attract popular content to their networks. However, the impact of content on the value of the interconnection services provided is not without its problems, given that Internet content varies enormously in terms of its usefulness, popularity and ultimate value.

The future of Internet interconnection is far from certain. The movement away from the peering approach to one that more accurately reflects the underlying costs of the infrastructure supplied by the backbone providers is likely to produce benefits to the industry and Internet users.

This article is insightful in many respects, but several key myths still remain, including the notion of a sustained high rate of increase in the demand for bandwidth.

New Issues for Internet Interconnection | Telecommunications, February 2000


Can Public Peering Survive? | Telephony, August 1999
Topic: Telecom Industry 10:50 pm EDT, May 31, 2004

The continuing saga of Internet connectivity is chipping away at a well-intentioned vestige designed to keep accessibility to the Net squarely in the public domain.

It remains to be seen whether the industry can self-regulate and if public peering will survive.

The NSF helped to create NAPs. It lured service providers to connect to these access points by making participation mandatory for ISPs signing government contracts.

Congestion turned many ISPs away from public peering and toward private alternatives. With private peering, traffic typically is still exchanged for free, but rather than connecting at a public exchange, two ISPs instead connect their routers at other points in the network.

A widening gulf soon developed between public and private peering.

Some charge that the dominant backbone providers -- UUNet, Sprint and Cable & Wireless -- have used peering to retain what amounts to an oligopoly.

"Both the private peering and the public peering points have grown in parallel. Quite simply, that's the bandwidth explosion we continue to see."

The fray over peering - or for some, the lack of it - is spurring new ventures that fill the void in Internet connectivity.

"The money will flow into providers that can solve [the BGP] problem."

"We're trying to get away from the current peering and transit model," says Level 3.

"The only way for the Internet to survive is with public peering," says AboveNet.

Tom Nolle believes one of two things will happen. "One, we're going to build what I call a shadow Internet." The other possibility is that the industry will see some regulation in the Internet space, Nolle explains. "If one of those two things doesn't happen, the Internet will crash eventually."

Says PSI: "Our primary strategy for growing our backbone is through the acquisition of capacity. We do this to reduce costs."

Operating data centers is also part of PSINet's strategy; this is a strong reason for continuing to buy more capacity.

The elements of Farooq Hussain's retrospective were told here, in 1999. The whole NSF thing was spelled out for all to see.

Unfortunately, too many people were still smoking the pipe; they were so focused on the smoke of exponential growth that they failed to see the crack in the pipe.

Can Public Peering Survive? | Telephony, August 1999


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