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Current Topic: War on Terrorism

US-Saudi relations rocked by terrorism — again
Topic: War on Terrorism 12:07 am EDT, Jun 22, 2004

The beheading of US hostage Paul Johnson highlights once again the tense relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia ...

Neither Bush nor Cheney mentioned Saudi Arabia. Powell thanked Riyadh for its efforts to find Johnson.

Kerry had stern words for the Saudis. "It is essential that we have the full cooperation of the Saudi government in tracking down these terrorists and destroying Al Qaeda. This must be our nation’s highest priority," Kerry said in a statement.

Analysts believe that Johnson's death will tighten relations between Washington and Riyadh. They say the relations will get stronger because now they are facing a common threat.

So, let me get this straight. A Pakistani newspaper publishes an article about al Qaeda in Saudi Arabia written by a journalist for Agence French Presse who quotes an expert from the Brookings Institution.

How's that for globalization?

US-Saudi relations rocked by terrorism — again


Bipartisan Panel Says More Progress Needed
Topic: War on Terrorism 9:46 am EDT, Jun 21, 2004

"al-Qaeda and other terrorist organizations still have ready access to financial resources, and that fact constitutes an ongoing threat to the United States."

# Saudi Arabia has not fully implemented its new laws and regulations, and because of that, opportunities for the witting or unwitting financing of terrorism persist.

# There is no evidence that Saudi Arabia has taken public punitive actions against any individual for financing terror. As a result, Saudi Arabia has yet to demand personal accountability in its efforts to combat terrorist financing and, more broadly and fundamentally, to de-legitimize these activities.

# Saudi Arabia continues to export radical extremism. "Saudi Arabia funds the global propagation of Wahabism, a brand of Islam that, in some instances, supports militancy... We are concerned that this massive spending is helping to create the next generation of terrorists."

The task force recommends that:

1. U.S. policymakers build a new framework for U.S.-Saudi relations.

Bipartisan Panel Says More Progress Needed


Saudi Arabia: Al Qaeda's Strategic Goals
Topic: War on Terrorism 12:36 pm EDT, Jun 20, 2004

Saudi Arabia is the golden egg. It is the spiritual heartland of al Qaeda itself.

When Washington loses confidence in the Saudi government, it will ratchet up its already intense pressure on Riyadh to cooperate in the war against terrorism.

If al Qaeda can find a cooperative branch or a support base within the royal family, then the "regime" could persist -- at least in name -- even as Riyadh's political orientation shifts.

Taking control of the energy industry would give al Qaeda global leverage.

The anti-Western guerrilla war is only the initial phase. The countdown to a confrontation between the mujahideen and the Saudi government is certain. It is only a matter of time.

Saudi Arabia: Al Qaeda's Strategic Goals


4 Killed After Hostage's Death Are Called Saudi Cell's Leaders
Topic: War on Terrorism 12:11 pm EDT, Jun 20, 2004

The Interior Ministry has yet to clarify exactly how it caught up with such a significant group in the middle of downtown Riyadh.

It remains somewhat murky what links might exist between Osama bin Laden and those operating within Saudi Arabia.

Experts were stunned that so many senior members of the cell were moving around together at the same time.

4 Killed After Hostage's Death Are Called Saudi Cell's Leaders


The Plain Truth
Topic: War on Terrorism 9:21 am EDT, Jun 17, 2004

Of all the ways Mr. Bush persuaded Americans to back the invasion of Iraq last year, the most plainly dishonest was his effort to link his war of choice with the battle against terrorists worldwide.

This is not just a matter of the president's diminishing credibility, although that's disturbing enough.

The Plain Truth


Fighting the Good Infight
Topic: War on Terrorism 12:46 am EDT, Jun 15, 2004

The problem is that the agencies aren't always set up to share information or to communicate with one another, and in some cases they even seem actively hostile toward doing so.

So the disagreements aren't productive, because they’re not put in the service of a common goal, and because so much information is kept locked up within each branch, rather than being aggregated.

What's key is the ability to put all the information from the different agencies together, and I think to do that you have to create a kind of community-wide mechanism for allowing the people in the different agencies to express their opinions and have them aggregated.

MemeStreams is a weapon system.

Fighting the Good Infight


Bush's Afghanistan Problem
Topic: War on Terrorism 12:32 am EDT, Jun 15, 2004

Donald Rumsfeld and the President kept on talking about waging this new kind of war, an unconventional war, and using Special Forces in a new way, but, in reality, it was just the same old thing.

To really go after an entrenched, complex terrorist organization, you have to be much more subtle.

It's just another example of beheading the messenger.

Generally there should never be a filter between what the reality is and what we’re seeing—particularly when we’re sending people into combat.

Bush's Afghanistan Problem


Secretary Powell: 'Big Mistake'
Topic: War on Terrorism 3:55 pm EDT, Jun 13, 2004

"Very embarrassing. I am not a happy camper over this. We were wrong."

"Nobody was out to cook the books. Errors crept in."

"I am regretful that this has happened."

"... we are still trying to determine what went wrong ..."

"It's a very big mistake. And we are not happy about this big mistake."

"We were wrong. We will correct it."

Secretary Powell: 'Big Mistake'


Plan of Attack, by Bruce Hoffman | The Atlantic | July/August 2004
Topic: War on Terrorism 4:47 pm EDT, Jun 11, 2004

"We know we're killing a lot, capturing a lot, collecting arms ... We just don't know yet whether that's the same as winning."

The world's governments and militaries have a striking inability to absorb and apply lessons learned. Guerrilla groups and terrorist organizations, on the other hand, learn lessons very well.

In any military operation it is essential to acquire, coordinate, analyze, and disseminate "actionable intelligence." Here, the United States has fallen far short of the mark in Iraq.

There will always be a fundamental asymmetry in the dynamic between insurgency and counterinsurgency.

The Iraqi insurgency today appears to have no clear leader, no ambition to seize and actually hold territory, no unifying ideology, and, most important, no identifiable organization. What we find in Iraq is the closest manifestation yet of "netwar."

MemeStreams is a weapons system.

Plan of Attack, by Bruce Hoffman | The Atlantic | July/August 2004


Al Qaeda's Small Victories Add Up
Topic: War on Terrorism 10:23 am EDT, Jun  4, 2004

Al Qaeda carried out its most successful attack since 9/11 last weekend, and much of that success was a result of the American reaction.

In the grand scheme of things, it was a small-scale attack. The real target was the willingness of foreigners to stay in the country.

Unfortunately, the official American reaction was to panic.

Don't Panic!

It is all very well to talk about a global war on terrorism. To win it, however, you have to fight it -- on every front.

We must do everything we can to help the region's more moderate and friendly regimes — the Saudis and others — defeat terrorism and improve the protection of foreign workers and oil facilities. Equally important is stepping up aid and antiterrorism assistance to Pakistan. Yes, these fights have a military dimension — but the primary struggle is political, ideological and economic. We can't win it by force or on the cheap. Victory will come only through strengthening local allies and reformers, not by trying to impose our own political values.

Anthony Cordesman argues that al Qaeda's latest attack was more 'successful' than the Madrid bombing. I need him to explain this further, but his point cannot be dismissed.

As Stratfor points out regularly, the decisive battles in the war against Al Qaeda must be fought in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. And while cruise missiles, UAVs, tanks, and SEALs will play a role, ultimately its success or failure does not hinge on the military.

This war can be lost by the military, but they cannot win it for us.

Focus!

Al Qaeda's Small Victories Add Up


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