| ] Welcome to the FAIRMODEL site]
 ] This site brings the power of large scale
 ] macroeconometric analysis to anyone with access to the
 ] internet. It is a resource for business forecasters,
 ] government policy analysts, macroeconomic researchers,
 ] teachers, and students. At this site, which is completely
 ] free, you can:
 ...
 ]
 ]    5. Analyze a presidential vote equation, including
 ] examining Bush's chances in 2004.
 There was a segment about the presidential vote equation on NPR.  The main objection is that the model does not factor in unemployment.  Employment is usually correlated with economic growth (which is a factor in the model), and the current jobless recovery may be sufficiently abnormal as to invalidate the model. FAIRMODEL site |