Current graph of the Iowa political Elections Market, one of the most accurate predictors of political elections for some time. It shows a wide and increasing gap between presidential candidates. In this particular case, I think I might start looking at moving to Canada.

[ I think there's a fairly good chance that what this shows is people sending their money to democratic causes rather than investing in the presidential futures market.

I did meme this last month because i thought it was pretty interesting as a concept, but all the indicators are all over the place this year. We have polls ranging from a dead heat to a 12 point lead. I don't think any predictors are faring well at the moment. -k]

IEM 2004 US Presidential Election Winner Takes All Market Price Graph