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Current Topic: Economics

NTT of Japan Plans to Cut 17,000 Jobs
Topic: Economics 5:43 am EDT, Apr 20, 2002

Two weeks after announcing the biggest loss for a nonfinancial corporation in Japanese history, NTT, the world's largest phone company, said it will cut 17,000 jobs (8%) and cut capex by 15% to restore profitability. ... critics want to break up NTT's holding company structure because it subsidizes the weak wire-line business through the strong performance of NTT DoCoMo.

NTT of Japan Plans to Cut 17,000 Jobs


The Internet sells its soul | The Economist
Topic: Economics 6:10 am EDT, Apr 17, 2002

A new hard-nosed commercialism is spreading over the Internet. Users are increasingly being asked to pay for information and services, while advertising is becoming more intrusive. The backlash has already begun.

... the Internet is being transformed from a vast repository of mostly free content into a commercial cauldron where almost everything is for sale. ... ads leap out from all over the place ... Yahoo will exploit users' personal information ... Making money on the Internet is not easy, especially from advertising.

... pop-up, pop-under ads irritate many users, but site operators have no choice. ...

If the Internet has a soul, it is the vast pool of information which people can explore, usually using one of the web's many free search engines. Now even search engines have become vehicles for marketing products and gathering information on individual surfers. ...

The most effective strategies and business models are still far from clear. Aggressive, in-your-face advertising seems to be working ... If users do not want to be hounded and harrassed by advertising, they may have to pay subscriptions for their favourite sites, just as they do for newspapers, magazines or cable-TV stations.

The Internet may be a mould-breaking new medium but, like all the media that came before it, someone has to pay for it, and that usually means, one way or another, users.

The Internet sells its soul | The Economist


MCI offers unlimited calls
Topic: Economics 10:54 pm EDT, Apr 16, 2002

MCI unveiled a plan Monday that for the first time gives residential customers unlimited local, local toll and long-distance calls for $50 a month. The goal is to gain local market share. MCI is heavily in debt and under SEC investigation. Analysts say the plan is proof of big changes in the way phone companies bill. "We are moving to a flat rate, or subscription-based, all-you-can-eat world."

How's this for a trick? Since billable minutes are falling off fast for all the carriers, MCI pondered, "Right now, the market wants to see growth in the number of minutes used. How can we get customers to make more LD calls?" and came up with the reply, "Let's go flat rate!" So they charge each customer a little more than the average one pays already, and figure they break even financially, but they get to say "minutes are up 15% this quarter!" in the next report.

One risk (which they must have foreseen) is that only the chattiest of their customers will take them up on the offer, and revenues will still go down even as minutes stabilize or climb up. So long term, it still doesn't pay the bills, but it could make for some nice weasel-words in the next quarterly report ...

According to a Knight-Ridder wire story, MCI's plan is a reply to a similar deal just announced by AT&T. MCI's marketing director: "It was important for us to come out as the first nationwide local phone company. We also wanted to step out of the price-driven commodity market of long-distance." Analysts say that if customers respond, then voice service will quickly evolve into an (unprofitable) all-flat-rate business.

MCI offers unlimited calls


More Woes for Europe's Cable Concerns
Topic: Economics 6:18 am EDT, Apr 16, 2002

The fortunes of European cable companies took another tumble today, as United Pan-Europe Communications said that any failure to reach an agreement with its bondholders to restructure its debts could force the company to seek bankruptcy protection from creditors.

Many European cable companies are being crushed by the debts they amassed in the late 1990's, when they borrowed heavily to grow through acquisitions. The capital markets have since stopped lending to these companies, making it difficult for them to finance operations and repay their debts. Almost none of them make a profit. ... Unless agreements are reached, analysts expect them to run out of money by August. ... "No matter how he does it, John Malone will end up controlling the majority of European cable operations."

More Woes for Europe's Cable Concerns


S&P Says WorldCom Dip May Hit Debt Rating
Topic: Economics 11:19 am EDT, Apr 13, 2002

S&P says: "WorldCom will be hard-pressed to reverse a slide in its long distance business and cut its $30B debt load. We may cut ratings."

WorldCom shares have fallen 92% in the last 3 years; down 20% just this week. ... Many other telecoms suffered this week from concerns about profits, revenues, cash flow and accounting. ... Lucent, Nortel, Qwest are all trading near all-time lows. ...

WorldCom's bonds are now quoted like junk bonds rather than like investment-grade bonds. "Fear dominates valuations right now."

S&P Says WorldCom Dip May Hit Debt Rating


Flag Telecom Files for Bankruptcy
Topic: Economics 11:11 am EDT, Apr 13, 2002

Flag Telecom filed for bankruptcy protection, becoming the latest high-speed network operator to buckle under mounting debt amid the industry's glut of network capacity and slumping demand.

Flag's board authorized the filing after banks sped up debt repayment, which triggered a cross default on its outstanding senior notes. ... If an agreement can be reached, Flag could emerge from bankruptcy.

The company is backed by Verizon (18.6%) and Tyco (11.2%), among others.

So, who wants to buy the world's longest cable? Cheap! Cheap! What, no takers?

Flag Telecom Files for Bankruptcy


AT&T Falls to '85 Level on Sector Slump
Topic: Economics 6:04 am EDT, Apr 12, 2002

AT&T's stock plunged to its lowest level since 1985, dragged by weakness across the telecommunications and cable television sectors, and by investor displeasure with its proposed reverse stock split, a move never before pursued by a Dow industrials firm, analysts said.

Shares dropped 8% to lowest level in 17 years; down 34% in the last 10 months.

"AT&T's getting hit from all sides -- the cable guys are down, the telecoms have been down and they're going lower." ...

"Given the problems in the telecom sector with carriers with a lot of debt, and given the off-balance sheet issues at Adelphia, I think investors may be concerned about cable stocks that have high debt levels. And Comcast, after the merger with AT&T Broadband, will have a huge amount of debt."

Most of AT&T's stock price reflects the value of the cable television business, rather than its shrinking telephone operations. ...

"[The reverse stock split] is like shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic."

AT&T Falls to '85 Level on Sector Slump


Lucent to Cut Additional 5,000 Jobs by End of June
Topic: Economics 6:00 am EDT, Apr 12, 2002

Lucent plans to cut about 5,000 more jobs than previously expected by the end of June because of the slowdown in the telecom sector.

"It's a lot of little snips ..."

Lucent's stock was down ~3.5% to an all-time low. Down 71% on the year. There are signs the struggling telecom spending market has not shown signs of beginning a long-awaited rebound.

Expectations are already rock bottom for Lucent and its competitors ...

Lucent to Cut Additional 5,000 Jobs by End of June


AOL Time Warner Stock Hits Post-Merger Low
Topic: Economics 5:55 am EDT, Apr 12, 2002

In two days, AOLTW's stock has plunged 10% to reach a four year low, as investors have grown concerned about the company's balance sheet, turmoil in its Internet unit and stock sales by a big shareholder.

"I don't think anyone would have thought that the stock would go down this far. The price is declining with accelerated volume, which reflects panic selling."

The old AOL and Time Warner each financed their growth through intricate partnerships, including ones with Bertelsmann for AOL Europe, with a publicly traded affiliate for AOL Latin America, and with AT&T and with a group controlled by the Newhouse family for various cable systems. Most of those deals are in various stages of restructuring, adding uncertainty.

"Basically, this is about trust."

AOL Time Warner Stock Hits Post-Merger Low


Fiber Optic Cables Abound, but What Price to Pay?
Topic: Economics 9:23 am EDT, Apr 11, 2002

For years, the telecommunications industry credo [was] "Build it, and they will come."

Now, with hundreds of thousands of miles worth of fiber optic cable lying in U.S. bankruptcy court -- and potentially thousands more on the way -- the question is: What to pay for potentially valuable capacity that may not show a meaningful return for many years?

"At the end of the day, very few of those bidders can afford not to have these assets generating free cash flow relatively soon."

There remains some question whether such carriers need Global Crossing's assets at all.

"Most of Global Crossing is redundant to other networks -- everyone has transatlantic capacity -- so a lot of it has zero value."

Fiber Optic Cables Abound, but What Price to Pay?


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