Rattle wrote:
] Does Saddam move first?
]
] I'm going with yes, with a spread of 12 hours.. That is, at
] least 12 hours before whatever deadline is set gets reached..

My guess is no... In fact, I'm surprised that his troops haven't fired on us over the last few months. Over the last decade, there'd been a kind of constant low-grade conflict, as U.S. or British planes would take out targets in the No-Fly Zone, and Iraqis would shoot back, but over the last couple months, things have been surprisingly quiet from the Iraqi side. My guess is that Saddam knew that if his troops *did* fire first, that it would give us the (relatively) moral high ground to move in and say that we were just "advancing in self defense".

The thing that I'm most curious about, is whether there will be some other move by a higher-up in the Iraqi military. After all, if they're genuinely worried about an attack by the U.S., the entire invasion could probably be stopped by one single bullet -- fired at Saddam.

RE: Place your bets..