] TradeSports Exchange Ltd is an online marketplace that
] trades contracts on various assertions, including
] contracts on political races. Its brick and mortar
] location is in Dublin Ireland. It is similar to a sports
] betting website but operates more like a futures market.
] The data for this projection comes from the
] state-by-state contracts for the assertion "George W.
] Bush to win this state in the November 2004 Election." A
] point costs $0.10 and a winning contract pays $10. In
] other words, the results depicted here are the collective
] judgments of a nation of betters who are willing to put
] their money where their mouth is.

Some of you may already know about TradeSports, a sports and politics trading market. This link is to a map of the United States, and projects the state electoral college results (in November) based on the TradeSports market price data for each state.

Since polls only tell you what the election would be like if it happened now, this TradeSports prediction is in some ways a more accurate projection.

TradeSports.com Electoral Vote Projection