As expected, the second big economic shoe dropped this week and hit with a resounding thud: another big job loss in March and an even bigger one in February than was previously announced. Add that to news this week of a downturn in manufacturing and what do you get? Two important recession signals flashing the same message: Danger Will Robinson! ... Here's what matters in trying to figure out where the economy is heading, the four main indicators of recession: 1. Employment - the number of jobs created each month 2. Industrial output -- mainly manufacturing 3. Personal income -- think monthly paycheck 4. Business sales -- wholesale and retail |