] Slower growth and reduced profits will likely squeeze ] three of the nation's top 10 personal computer ] manufacturers out of the market by 2007, a research firm ] predicted Monday. ] ] While manufacturers' shipments increased by double digits ] in the past few years, tougher times lie ahead, according ] to Gartner Inc. ] ] Gartner did not name any candidates for departure but ] suggested many are vulnerable. Dell is the only ] consistently profitable global computer vendor in the ] past several years, Gartner said. ] ] The top 10 worldwide vendors, by units shipped, are Dell, ] Hewlett-Packard Co., International Business Machines ] Corp., Fujitsu Ltd., Fujitsu Siemens Computers, Toshiba ] Corp., NEC Corp., Apple Computer Inc., Lenovo Group Ltd. ] and Gateway Inc. ] ] Personal computer growth, by unit, is forecast to average ] 5.7 percent annually from 2006 through 2008, according to ] Gartner, half the 11.3 percent average of 2003 through ] 2005. ] ] "With PC replacements still in full swing, 2005 should be ] a reasonably strong year for PC vendors," said Leslie ] Fiering, a research vice president with Gartner. ] "However, the end of the replacement cycle is likely to ] strain viability for even the largest PC vendors in 2006 ] and beyond." ] ] The personal computer divisions of Hewlett-Packard and ] IBM are vulnerable to being spun off if their drag on ] margins and profitability are deemed too great by their ] parent companies, Gartner said. Another silly Gartner report? |