] The first wave of exit-poll data reaching my desk comes ] from a variety of sources. In some states the sources ] disagree about the specific margin by which a candidate ] leads, but never about which candidate is out in front. ] Some of the confusion may stem from the mixing of morning ] exit-poll numbers with early afternoon numbers. With ] those provisos and the understanding that the early ] numbers are predictive of nothing without their ] accompanying computer model, here's what I've heard: Slate is leaking exit poll data. [ Don't forget the extra large grain of salt. Exit polls are notoriously shady. -k] |