] One of the dirtiest words in the economic lexicon is ] making the rounds again: stagflation. ] ] Defined as a noxious blend of stagnant growth and rising ] prices, stagflation last appeared in force in the 1970s, ] when it bedeviled U.S. policy makers and gradually ] degraded the standard of living of average Americans. ] Economists long thought a repeat to be extremely ] unlikely. ] ] But now, they are starting to worry again. The ] fundamental problem: Oil prices are kicking up inflation ] across the world, at precisely the same time that ] economic growth appears to be slowing. If oil prices keep ] climbing, and inflation rates exceed growth rates, some ] economists say the U.S., Asia and other regions could ] face a troubling scenario in which policy makers have to ] fight some of the same demons that plagued the U.S. back ] in the days of disco. ] ] "Oil at $45 a barrel is a stagflation problem," warned ] economists at UBS Ltd. in a recent research report. By ] their reckoning, sustained prices at that level would ] slow global growth rates by almost half a percentage ] point in 2005 and by about one percentage point in 2006. ] Perhaps more important, such prices would push inflation ] up by about the same amount -- giving the world its first ] taste in years of what stagflation can be like. [ Awesome. Seriously su-par. -k] |