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Unwinding the Kerry trade - Commentary: Sell Iraq, buy the economy by w1ld at 10:03 am EDT, Jul 29, 2004 |
] I call it the Kerry trade, which is not to be confused ] with the "carry trade," a major position among hedge ] funds involving money borrowed at low U.S. interest rates ] and invested in products that pay higher rates. ] ] The Kerry trade has been rampant on Wall Street in the ] last several weeks as large investors sell their holdings ] to hedge against the possibility that the Massachusetts ] junior senator could actually, might possibly win in ] November. ] ] The theme behind it is that if a tax-and-spend Democrat ] wins the White House, the stock market will immediately ] tank, so better to sell now and be in cash as long as the ] polls indicate that it could be a close vote. ] ] But the theme is wrong for several reasons. |
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