Ryan -- Tom, also from the article posted, you learn that the production of uranium also requires -- surprise, surprise, a great deal of petroleum. Everything we do requires it. Hijexx wrote: ] ryan is the supernicety wrote: ] ] Ryan-- this is really important. I really would like to ] learn ] ] more on this. Are there any good studies or academic papers ] ] ] anyone knows about? This could be the defining point for ] our ] ] generation. ] ] That's an understatement :) There's a good link at the bottom ] of the article: ] ] http://www.newsgateway.ca/by_topic_peak_oil.htm ] ] And I have to say so far, Heinberg's book "The Party's Over" ] puts things in quite a sharp focus. ] ] Tom, there's a great chapter in the book about Non-Petroleum ] Energy Sources. The problem with fuel cells is that they are ] not energy sources, they are just carriers of energy. That ] stems from the fact that the process of hydrogen production ] uses more energy than the hydrogen will yield. ] ] And on ethanol: ] ] "Cornell University professor David Pimentel, who has ] performed a thorough net-energy analysis of ethanol, found ] that an acre of corn ultimately yields, on average, 328 ] gallons of ethanol. It takes 1,000 gallons of fossil fuels to ] plant, grow, and harvest this quantity of corn. Additional ] energy must be used in distilling the ethanol. In sum, ] 131,000 BTU are needed to make 1 gallon of ethanol, which has ] an energy value of only 77,000 BTU. This gives ethanol an ] EROEI [Energy Returned On Energy Invested, -ed] of ] roughly .59, meaning a 41 percent net loss of ] energy.[0] ] ] A recent USDA study came to a more optimistic conclusion: it ] claims that ethanol offers a 34 percent energy ] profit.[1] This translates into an EROEI of 1.34, ] still hardly an impressive figure when compared to the ] historic or current EROEI for oil. The practical difference ] between Pimentel's .59 and the USDA's 1.34 is slight. In ] either case, if the entire US automotive fleet were to run on ] pure ethanol, nearly all of the continental US would be ] required in order to grow the feedstock. There would be no ] land left over even to house the American population, let ] alone feed it. ] ] [0] http://unisci.com/stories/20013/0813012.htm ] [1] "Study Finds Ethanol Production Energy Efficient," ENS, 2 ] August 2002 ] ] Here's the positive study on ethanol: ] ] http://www.usda.gov/news/releases/2002/08/0322.htm ] ] The reality is somewhere in the middle probably. The math on ] that puts it at about break even. Once again, back in the ] same boat as hydrogen, an energy carrier, not an energy ] source. ] ] I really recommend this book. It's getting my attention and ] making me think really hard about where we should go from ] here. I think we should all be particularly worried. The ] road map you see, I believe the cartographers do not see the ] cliffs ahead. RE: Observations and the State of Affairs - Peak Oil |