] However, let me hasten to add that, at least as I ] interpret it, this rally will ultimately be nothing more ] than a bear market rally. That's because at no point ] during the 2000-2002 bear market did the HSNSI ever ] register the kind of persistent and thoroughgoing ] pessimism and despair that is the hallmark of a major ] bear market bottom. ] ] This would suggest that, whenever this rally eventually ] comes to an end, the bear market will resume. It implies ] that the Dow will see new lows below its Oct. 9, 2002, ] low of 7,286 before it reaches new all time highs above ] the 11,700 level. ] ] But that's a longer-term worry at this point. For now, ] the message of the HSNSI is that this bear market rally ] still has more life left in it. |